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About
Russia:
Regularly new highs of the RTS index and one of the fastest
and lasting growing national economies of the world...
These are the present conditions in the Russian Federation,
from which arise gigantic sales opportunities for international
investors and excellent investment chances for private persons.
It is only ten years ago that Russia could not pay its debts
anymore and devaluated the rouble. The economy and the share
prices know only one direction since then: steep up. And the
market is still reasonable weighted because Russian enterprises
are very profitable. Thanks to the lucrative oil and gas exports
Russia shows an impressive national account balance surplus.
With currency reserves of several hundred billion US dollars
and an extremely low indebtedness quota the country´s
future position is a very strong one. But the economy consists
of much more than oil and gas. The diversification makes progress,
Russian banks make substantial profits with robust growth rates
and the private consumption is the growth engine thanks to salary
increases. And because of the passed duma and presidential elections
the political trend is stable. The basis for thrilling and successful
next years could not be better.
Since 2004 I am living, working and doing research in St. Petersburg,
the "Venice of the north" and the Russian gate to the west.
I have got to know the Russian mentality during this time and have a
widespread network of colleagues and friends who explain me their
views of the events and help to cope with the challenges of the
daily life and to understand country and people.
Strategy:
As it is wellknown, the most important rule of investment consulting
is: "Limiting losses and letting profits grow". However,
the human character makes the practical and consistent following of
this rule a daily challenge for investors. It has lasted for many
years and some crashes with me myself till I really could estimate
the practical meaning of sentences like "The trend is your
friend". But it was hardly possible differently, too, because
my first contact with the share markets, at that time as a bank clerk
trainee, fell in a periode in which the 1998 Asian economic crisis
was just over and the IT boom knew only one direction for the markets
up to the year 2000: upwards. The following economy scandals,
the September 11th and the falls in share prices connected with
that of almost 80 per cent (German share market index DAX) have
raised for me many questions but brought hardly answers. In innumerable
customer conversations as a Senior investment consultant in a big
German private bank I was confronted on the one hand with questions
of the human psyche but on the other hand also with the limitations
in qualified consulting of clients, when you work for a big purchase
organization like a bank. Of course it did not satisfy me.
So I tried to find answers and explanations in the university libraries
of this world. Many weeks and month I spent at universities in Germany,
in the USA, in Sweden and in Russia and dealed with the scientific work
about portfolio and risk management and Behavioral Finance. I could
already transfer these experiences in my own papers. But nevertheless
I will not stop asking questions. Particularly in 2006 and 2007 I have
carried out extensive studies and backtestings about automatic trading
systems. Furthermore my expeditions and extensive bicycle tours all over
Eastern Europe have aroused my interest for other cultures and people.
The combination of these professional, scientific and private
experiences I connect under the roof of my enterprise "TH
Investment Consulting". For private persons, banks,
educational institutions and publishing houses I offer
individual consulting and publicity services as well as the
job as lecturer in numerous topics and in three languages.
Please visit
TH Individual Consulting
for further information.
Furthermore I offer several services for German and German-speaking clients.
I publish a weekly newsletter which represents and evaluates statistically
the current economic development in Russia and their consequences for the
share markets as well as the development of Russian shares, including a
specially developed rating system. However, I summarize the development
of other investment regions and instruments with extensive statistics,
too. Interested clients have the possibility to invest with a list of
recommendations and an example portfolio long-term successfully.
The value of a portfolio which consists of my own investments and
recommendations is published monthly and evaluated statistically.
So the possibility of following up my private performance transparently
and profiting from it arises for my clients and for all other interested
persons. Please visit the German part of the website or contact me for
further information:
kontakt@tobias-hertel.de .
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TH Strategy & Vita 
